Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 407.655834 462.863805 524.061651 597.149682 682.347525 778.863660 896.957181
2025-12-21 311.290870 380.138991 463.224185 571.711337 710.850381 884.961357 1121.923752
2025-12-28 274.818387 352.614661 452.137005 590.479077 780.484555 1036.246520 1413.387033
2026-01-04 251.270534 335.602066 448.756237 614.446801 855.574195 1201.185797 1748.014770
2026-01-11 226.587335 312.712484 432.893644 616.666054 897.505658 1322.309911 2037.098911
2026-01-18 202.229552 286.823029 408.811011 602.325612 910.718457 1399.558210 2268.046536
2026-01-25 182.640686 265.396691 388.285967 589.789238 923.408935 1475.538364 2507.589441
2026-02-01 172.854211 257.372591 386.651658 605.905894 983.470052 1637.033442 2926.063694
2026-02-08 160.693853 244.341283 375.608654 604.886943 1013.628512 1750.047339 3274.676640
2026-02-15 149.012784 230.897662 362.406825 598.345310 1032.548829 1844.412141 3603.570804
2026-02-22 140.777085 222.233006 356.082437 602.719251 1071.349047 1981.201249 4047.162168
2026-03-01 130.990353 210.125852 342.762393 592.914938 1081.742598 2062.991436 4386.556207
2026-03-08 122.789243 200.202864 332.596697 588.317115 1102.710549 2171.788761 4817.841326
2026-03-15 112.318032 185.574397 312.939990 563.817654 1080.712847 2186.594814 5027.837792
2026-03-22 109.120430 183.430859 315.440150 582.250601 1149.697735 2411.665541 5821.672669
2026-03-29 106.818939 182.664983 320.322164 605.831799 1232.853717 2683.583530 6813.946684
2026-04-05 101.935934 176.782401 315.044295 608.014798 1268.896094 2849.803475 7556.166731
2026-04-12 95.513776 167.567805 302.619949 593.907342 1265.826132 2918.770305 8029.588865
2026-04-19 89.838056 159.373221 291.546989 581.573911 1265.324747 2994.316578 8545.255179
2026-04-26 87.679464 157.747650 293.327813 597.429540 1334.697493 3266.607875 9782.170198
2026-05-03 83.907231 152.715256 287.824434 596.427126 1362.256937 3429.998863 10702.199251
2026-05-10 79.875548 146.902864 280.275626 589.991548 1375.161041 3554.453118 11524.339142
2026-05-17 77.143301 143.502318 277.477226 594.294598 1416.628468 3770.295154 12764.856509